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CIA Report predicts declining US dominance 2

The “National Intelligence Council“, (a center of strategic thinking within the US Government CIA) has released a report that predicts that US Global dominance could end by 2020.

The report suggests the possibilities of the EU becoming a superpower, the likely emergence of China and India, as well as others, as new major global players, and questions whether other countries will more openly challenge Washington. “In the same way that commentators refer to the 1900s as the “American Century,” the 21st century may be seen as the time when Asia, led by China and India, comes into its own. A combination of sustained high economic growth, expanding military capabilities, and large populations will be at the root of the expected rapid rise in economic and political power for both countries.”

The report also suggests that international terrorism is here to stay. “The key factors that spawned international terrorism show no signs of abating over the next 15 years.”

Although the report predicts the emergence of new global powers, it also suggests that the US will still play a large role in shaping the world. “Although the challenges ahead will be daunting, the United States will retain enormous advantages, playing a pivotal role across the broad range of issues – economic, technological, political, and military – that no other state will match by 2020.

The report titled “Mapping the Global Future: Report of the National Intelligence Council’s 2020 Project” took about a year to produce, involved over a thousand people and is unclassified and available for download from the National Intelligence Council website.

  • http://www.blogger.com/profile/16070455015109638197 WhyNot

    Very interesting. While I’ve seen many other articles about the growth of the EU, China and India as superpowers of the future, I had not seen somthing about this interesting prediction that terrorism is not going away in a hurry.

  • http://www.blogger.com/profile/04454437680686627778 Jim

    Reply to Whynot: It’s also interesting because it’s from the US Government itself. I don’t think George W. is going to be promoting this publication anytime soon ;)